Anyway, earlier this year someone tried to combat this idea with some math, which then spread online, especially through Facebook. The claim:
The idea the first statement is getting across is true: Without leap days, we are going faster through the year than we should. The statement itself is inaccurate*, but it's close enough to launch their hand grenade in the second part.There have been about 514 Leap Years since Caesar created it in 45BC. Without the extra day every 4 years, today would be July 28, 2013.
Also, the Mayan calendar did not account for leap year…. so technically the world should have ended 7 months ago.
It is true that the Mayans didn't account for leap year, but they weren't using our calendar. The Islamic calendar has a leap year almost every 3 years (11 out of 30 years) instead of our almost 1 out of 4. But would I say, "Today is 3 Shawwal 1433? That converts to 21 Aug, 2012, but since you have all these extra leap days then we better add those in, so it's actually a few years in the future!" No, the calendar differences are already present in the conversion. Today is today, neither the future, nor the past.
| Aztec Calendar. Unrelated to the Mayan calendar, but is impressive looking. |
Yes, let's refute this Mayan 2012 apocolypse garbage. But let's not use bad math and poor understanding to do it.
*There have been 511 leap years since Julius Caesar created the Julian calendar which went into effect in 45BC. Ten of those leap days were nullified when the Gregorian calendar went into effect in 1582 and 4 October 1582 was followed by 15 October 1582. One extra day is added every four years except on century years not divisible by 400.
Also, the claim clearly was written 1 March, 2012, so when they say "the world should have ended 7 months ago" they are subtracting the 514 from that date. But if we're going to count the Julian leap years, why not count the leap years that existed in the Roman calendar, which existed before Julius Caesar? They had a shorter calendar and added extra months every so many years instead of just a leap day. Or at least why not extrapolate the Julian (or Gregorian) calendar backwards to 3114 BC? Perhaps they actually believe that the year got longer only when Julius Caesar said so.
**Incidentally, today's date is 12.19.19.11.18. The place value names in decreasing order are called: b'ak'tun, k'atun, tun, winal, and k'in. The Mayans used a base-20 numbering system, instead of our base-10. Each place-value is worth 20 of the previous, except for the tun, as the winal only went up to 18. (20*18 = 360, which is kinda close to a year.)



